I discuss things that can hasten those timelines (see the new Netflix doc, Top 1% for Creativity and the AI Natural Selection paper) or slow it down (ft. Yuval Noah Hariri, the new Jailbroken paper, and more). And I end on some reflections of what it might mean to interact with a superintelligence (ft Douglas Hofstadter).
Introducing Superalignment: https://openai.com/blog/introducing-superalignment
Odds of Success: https://twitter.com/janleike/with_replies?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor
Mustafa Suleyman (Inflection AI) Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oAxNkehgzEU
Inflection Supercomputer: https://www.tomshardware.com/news/startup-builds-supercomputer-with-22000-nvidias-h100-compute-gpus
GPT 2030: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/WZXqNYbJhtidjRXSi/what-will-gpt-2030-look-like
Counterpoint: https://twitter.com/xuanalogue/status/1666765447054647297
Creativity Test: https://www.umt.edu/news/2023/07/070523test.php
MMLU: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2009.03300.pdf
Boston Globe CAI: https://www.bostonglobe.com/2023/07/06/opinion/ai-safety-human-extinction-dan-hendrycks-cais/
Yuval Noah Hariri Guardian: https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2023/jul/06/ai-firms-face-prison-creation-fake-humans-yuval-noah-harari
Jailbroken Paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2307.02483.pdf
Suleyman Hallucination Tweet: https://twitter.com/mustafasuleymn/status/1678072401760796672?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
Killer Robots: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YsSzNOpr9cE
Automated Apple-picking: https://twitter.com/AiBreakfast/status/1677828971214282752
50 year Mortgages: https://www.ft.com/content/281fbba6-28e2-42d4-b241-0f215995f0d1
Heypi: https://heypi.com/talk
Natural Selection Favors AIs over Humans: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2303.16200.pdf#:~:text=Natural%20selection%20may%20be%20a,designs%20to%20be%20selected%20naturally.
Gödel, Escher, Bach author Doug Hofstadter on the state of AI today: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lfXxzAVtdpU&t=1763s
